Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 9:38 AM, 81 voters in 20 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 118,124 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 59,333 - 144,381). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 9:38 AM 1610 c(2.5% = 949) c(97.5% = 1805)
02 9:38 AM 2637 c(2.5% = 1502) c(97.5% = 2857)
03 9:38 AM 1544 c(2.5% = 786) c(97.5% = 1899)
04 9:38 AM 1555 c(2.5% = 766) c(97.5% = 1993)
05 9:38 AM 3707 c(2.5% = 2130) c(97.5% = 4039)
06 9:38 AM 1042 c(2.5% = 523) c(97.5% = 1273)
07 9:38 AM 1021 c(2.5% = 375) c(97.5% = 1646)
08 9:38 AM 3602 c(2.5% = 2111) c(97.5% = 3945)
09 9:38 AM 1798 c(2.5% = 1062) c(97.5% = 2058)
10 9:38 AM 2264 c(2.5% = 1167) c(97.5% = 2756)
11 9:38 AM 997 c(2.5% = 493) c(97.5% = 1298)
12 9:38 AM 1701 c(2.5% = 848) c(97.5% = 2132)
13 9:38 AM 1539 c(2.5% = 767) c(97.5% = 1955)
14 9:38 AM 665 c(2.5% = 338) c(97.5% = 796)
15 9:38 AM 1899 c(2.5% = 1076) c(97.5% = 2075)
16 9:38 AM 833 c(2.5% = 400) c(97.5% = 1114)
17 9:38 AM 1880 c(2.5% = 953) c(97.5% = 2356)
18 9:38 AM 1535 c(2.5% = 848) c(97.5% = 1729)
19 9:38 AM 779 c(2.5% = 327) c(97.5% = 1113)
20 9:38 AM 744 c(2.5% = 334) c(97.5% = 972)
21 9:38 AM 4233 c(2.5% = 2276) c(97.5% = 4806)
22 9:38 AM 2382 c(2.5% = 1348) c(97.5% = 2722)
23 9:38 AM 1401 c(2.5% = 656) c(97.5% = 1750)
24 9:38 AM 1164 c(2.5% = 570) c(97.5% = 1442)
25 9:38 AM 1140 c(2.5% = 535) c(97.5% = 1365)
26 9:38 AM 1580 c(2.5% = 846) c(97.5% = 1786)
27 9:38 AM 1946 c(2.5% = 1000) c(97.5% = 2559)
28 9:38 AM 889 c(2.5% = 430) c(97.5% = 1195)
29 9:38 AM 872 c(2.5% = 451) c(97.5% = 1054)
30 9:38 AM 1720 c(2.5% = 976) c(97.5% = 1894)
31 9:38 AM 1388 c(2.5% = 765) c(97.5% = 1503)
32 9:38 AM 1456 c(2.5% = 678) c(97.5% = 1910)
33 9:38 AM 1185 c(2.5% = 465) c(97.5% = 1739)
34 9:38 AM 3194 c(2.5% = 1629) c(97.5% = 3838)
35 9:38 AM 2096 c(2.5% = 974) c(97.5% = 2568)
36 9:38 AM 2566 c(2.5% = 1302) c(97.5% = 2972)
37 9:38 AM 942 c(2.5% = 438) c(97.5% = 1232)
38 9:38 AM 1583 c(2.5% = 818) c(97.5% = 1879)
39 9:38 AM 3088 c(2.5% = 1689) c(97.5% = 3437)
40 9:38 AM 3260 c(2.5% = 1574) c(97.5% = 4147)
41 9:38 AM 1290 c(2.5% = 624) c(97.5% = 1574)
42 9:38 AM 1643 c(2.5% = 715) c(97.5% = 2196)
43 9:38 AM 1293 c(2.5% = 535) c(97.5% = 1820)
44 9:38 AM 1045 c(2.5% = 514) c(97.5% = 1338)
45 9:38 AM 1443 c(2.5% = 691) c(97.5% = 1719)
46 9:38 AM 1983 c(2.5% = 1079) c(97.5% = 2243)
47 9:38 AM 609 c(2.5% = 296) c(97.5% = 774)
48 9:38 AM 1452 c(2.5% = 711) c(97.5% = 1822)
49 9:38 AM 1883 c(2.5% = 897) c(97.5% = 2425)
50 9:38 AM 2643 c(2.5% = 1448) c(97.5% = 3054)
51 9:38 AM 1690 c(2.5% = 833) c(97.5% = 2165)
52 9:38 AM 2092 c(2.5% = 1141) c(97.5% = 2433)
53 9:38 AM 1450 c(2.5% = 675) c(97.5% = 1763)
54 9:38 AM 1041 c(2.5% = 458) c(97.5% = 1353)
55 9:38 AM 1693 c(2.5% = 843) c(97.5% = 2074)
56 9:38 AM 2454 c(2.5% = 1255) c(97.5% = 3023)
57 9:38 AM 2113 c(2.5% = 1072) c(97.5% = 2538)
58 9:38 AM 3523 c(2.5% = 1747) c(97.5% = 4252)
59 9:38 AM 1807 c(2.5% = 917) c(97.5% = 2211)
60 9:38 AM 1447 c(2.5% = 740) c(97.5% = 1778)
61 9:38 AM 2176 c(2.5% = 1040) c(97.5% = 2803)
62 9:38 AM 1568 c(2.5% = 716) c(97.5% = 1964)
63 9:38 AM 2021 c(2.5% = 1073) c(97.5% = 2356)
64 9:38 AM 1152 c(2.5% = 582) c(97.5% = 1436)
65 9:38 AM 1661 c(2.5% = 862) c(97.5% = 2008)
66 9:38 AM 3515 c(2.5% = 1759) c(97.5% = 4278)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions